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The post-SARBOX accounting industry, Part II

Posted on 09.22.2006 by Registered CommenterMalcolm McLelland | CommentsPost a Comment

In "The post-SARBOX accounting industry, Part I" I presented a graph showing the accounting industry revenue growth rate had decreased significantly in recent years.  We all know, of course, that revenues are the result of productivity; they really aren't production per se.  Setting aside the (very real) difficulties of measuring output independently of the monetary value of the output, it's worthwhile to look at a time series graph of accounting/audting industry output based on data obtained from the Bureau of Economic Analysis' (which, by the way, was where the data came from underlying the graph presented in "The post-SARBOX accounting industry, Part I"):

AGM06--Acct industry output trends.jpg

Much the same as the graph of accounting industry revenues, the accounting industry's output growth rate is subtantially lower in the post-Sarbanes-Oxley environment than in the pre-Sarbanes-Oxley environment.  Well, well, well.  Does this mean the outlook for the accounting/audting industry is bleak?  Maybe or maybe not.  But to the extent the outlook is bright, I believe it's not for reasons having much to do with the accounting, auditing, tax, or consulting services traditionally provided by accounting firms.  More on this soon ...

(Note: This posting draws on my joint research with co-authors, Matt Anderson and Greg Gerard, presently titled "Sarbanes-Oxley and the shrinking accounting labor market: Exploring potential causes and their implications".)

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